Euro 2016 Prediction Model Update:  After July 3

Published on22 JUN 2016

The analysis below is an update to the report The Econometrician's Take on Euro 2016 by Goldman Sachs Research originally published on 3 June 2016.

3 JUL 2016  -  In the last match of the quarter-finals, France defeated Iceland 5-2, advancing to face Germany in the semi-finals.

France's chance of winning the tournament increased 5.6 percentage points to 35.2%, but Germany remains the team with the highest odds at 39.2%.

For details of the model see the full report.


Jan Hatzius
Sven Jari Stehn
Donnie Millar