Will tariffs lead to a recession?

The Trump administration’s tariff moves are turning US trade policy on its head — and fueling concerns about the US economic outlook. So will tariffs send the US into a recession? And, if so, what might that recession look like? Economist and Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman, Goldman Sachs Research’s Jan Hatzius, and American Compass’ Oren Cass speak with Goldman Sachs Research’s Allison Nathan about the implications of the radical shifts in tariff policies for the US economy.  This episode explores the latest Top of Mind report.

This episode was recorded on April 14, 15, and 22, 2025.