Goldman Sachs economists and experts share insights on macro trends shaping the global economy.
Lotfi Karoui of Goldman Sachs Research explains what today’s credit markets indicate about the likelihood of a US recession. Listen Now
A review of the last 100 years of US recessions suggests that they can be boiled down to five major causes: industrial shocks, oil supply shocks, inflationary overheating followed by aggressive Fed tightening, private sector financial imbalances, and fiscal tightening. Read Report
Goldman Sachs Research expects below-trend growth in the Asia-Pacific region in 2019 as financial conditions tighten and global growth slows. Read Report and Watch Video