Goldman Sachs economists and experts share insights on macro trends shaping the global economy.
Latest
What Can Credit Markets Tell Us About the Chances of a US Recession?
Lotfi Karoui of Goldman Sachs Research explains what today’s credit markets indicate about the likelihood of a US recession. Listen Now
Learning from a Century of US Recessions
A review of the last 100 years of US recessions suggests that they can be boiled down to five major causes: industrial shocks, oil supply shocks, inflationary overheating followed by aggressive Fed tightening, private sector financial imbalances, and fiscal tightening. Read Report
Asia Economic Outlook 2019: Everything in Moderation
Goldman Sachs Research expects below-trend growth in the Asia-Pacific region in 2019 as financial conditions tighten and global growth slows. Read Report and Watch Video
US Economic Outlook 2019: The Home Stretch
Goldman Sachs Research forecasts slower US economic growth in 2019 due to tighter financial conditions and a fading fiscal stimulus. Read Report and Watch Video
Global Economic Outlook 2019: Landing the Plane
The global economy looks poised to slow moderately from 3.8% in 2018 to 3.5% next year in Goldman Sachs Research’s view, led by deceleration in the US and further softening in China. Read Report